debtkit: Debt Sustainability Analysis and Fiscal Risk Assessment
Analyses government debt sustainability using the standard debt
dynamics framework from Blanchard (1990) <doi:10.1787/budget-v2-art12-en>
and the IMF Debt Sustainability Analysis methodology (IMF, 2013) and the
Sovereign Risk and Debt Sustainability Framework (IMF, 2022). Projects
debt-to-GDP paths, decomposes historical debt changes into interest,
growth, and primary balance contributions, and estimates fiscal reaction
functions following Bohn (1998) <doi:10.1162/003355398555793>. Produces stochastic
fan charts via Monte Carlo simulation, standardised stress tests, and IMF-
style heat map risk assessments. Computes S1/S2 sustainability gap
indicators used by the European Commission. All methods are pure
computation with no external dependencies beyond base R; works with fiscal
data from any source.
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